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人民币-美元汇率将继续在双向波动中发展,人民币全年升值可能在3%,重回一年升值5%的可能性不大。进入5月,人民币-美元汇率在沉寂了19个月后突然发力。到6月14日中间价收于6.1607,较之1月4日的6.2897已升值2.09%。而在之前的4月26日,人民币-美元汇率还是6.2208,仅升值1.1%。回顾2012年,全年升值仅为0.17%,人民币-美元汇率在一年间围绕“6.30”保持着双向波动的局面。能不能就此认为始于2011年10月的双向波动局面已结束,人民币将重回每年升值5%的局面?就国内经济形势而言,经历了一年的调整期,中国经济缓慢走出低谷,表
The renminbi-dollar exchange rate will continue to develop in two-way fluctuations. The appreciation of the Renminbi may rise at 3% for the full year and is unlikely to return to a 5% appreciation for one year. Into May, the renminbi-dollar exchange rate suddenly jumped after 19 months of silence. By June 14, the middle rate closed at 6.1607, up 2.09% from 6.2897 on January 4. In the previous April 26, the RMB - US dollar exchange rate or 6.2208, only appreciated 1.1%. Recalling 2012, the annual appreciation of only 0.17%, RMB - US dollar exchange rate in the year around the “6.30” maintained a two-way fluctuations in the situation. Can we not conclude that the two-way fluctuation that began in October 2011 has ended and the RMB will regain the value of 5% per annum? As for the domestic economic situation, after a one-year adjustment period, China’s economy has slowly bottomed out