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积极推进供给侧结构性改革,提高全要素生产率,降低区域全要素生产率差距,增加有效供给,是当前我国经济改革与发展的重要任务。文章运用基于Tornqvist数量指数的相对TFP测度方法测度了2014年中国各省市自治区的相对TFP并进行聚类与回归分析。分析发现:中国各省市自治区的相对TFP存在很大差异;按照K-均值聚类法分类,中国的相对TFP已经形成明显的区域差异;相对人力资本指数、相对出口指数、相对研发人数指数对相对TFP有显著的正面影响。缩小我国省际全要素生产率差距,国家需要采取均衡基础教育与高等教育资源、大力发展民营经济等措施,以避免有效供给能力不足带来的“需求外溢”。
It is an important task for China’s economic reform and development to actively promote the supply-side structural reforms, increase the total factor productivity, reduce the regional total factor productivity gap and increase the effective supply. In this paper, relative TFP measurement based on Tornqvist number index was used to measure the relative TFP in China’s provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities in 2014 and clustering and regression analysis. The analysis shows that the relative TFP in China’s provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions is quite different. According to K-means clustering, China’s relative TFP has formed a significant regional difference; relative human capital index, relative export index, relative R & D index relative TFP has a significant positive impact. Narrowing the gap between China’s total factor productivity and the state’s need to adopt balanced basic education and higher education resources and vigorously develop the private economy so as to avoid “demand spillover ” caused by insufficient effective supply capacity.