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通过分析我国合同能源管理的发展现状,发现节能企业在进行合同能源管理时普遍存在融资难的现象。通过定量研究法,在分析合同能源管理项目3种融资方式的基础上,建立债权融资方式下的风险评估指标体系,并运用模糊判断矩阵建立控制区间和记忆模型对融资风险进行定量评估。最后,根据算例分析证明了控制区间和记忆模型在融资风险评估中的实用性和有效性。
By analyzing the development of contract energy management in our country, it is found that energy-saving enterprises have a lot of difficulties in financing when contract energy management is carried out. Through quantitative research method, based on the analysis of three financing modes of contract energy management project, the risk assessment index system under debt financing is established, and the fuzzy judgment matrix is used to establish the control interval and memory model to evaluate the financing risk quantitatively. Finally, based on a case study, the practicality and validity of control interval and memory model in financing risk assessment are proved.