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从七个方面构建了测度两岸经济一体化的指标体系,测算了1995-2015年两岸经济一体化的演进与程度,并以欧盟、NAFTA等区域的经济一体化作为评判的参照系。结果显示:两岸经济一体化程度有明显提高,但横向的国际比较则显示两岸经济一体化程度仍处在较低的水平;随着两岸经济一体化程度的提高,两岸经济发展的差异度降低,经济结构收敛,两岸经济关系逐渐由互补转向竞合;两岸经济合作已进入调整期,对此应有新思路、新方式和新政策。
The index system for measuring cross-Strait economic integration was constructed from seven aspects. The evolution and degree of cross-Strait economic integration between 1995 and 2015 were estimated. The economic integration of the EU, NAFTA and other regions was taken as the frame of reference. The results show that the degree of cross-Strait economic integration has improved significantly, but horizontal comparison shows that the level of cross-Strait economic integration is still at a relatively low level. With the improvement of cross-Strait economic integration, the differences in cross-Strait economic development have been reduced. As the economic structure has converged, cross-Strait economic relations have gradually shifted from complementarity to co-operation. Cross-Strait economic cooperation has entered a period of adjustment, and new ideas, new approaches and new policies should be adopted for this.