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韶关市立案不实调查和程度测估我们认为,导致立案统计偏差主要有两大因素:一是群众因种种原因不报案——“被动型”偏差;二是群众报了案并符合立案标准,但公安机关没有立案——“主动型”偏差。实际上,“被动型”偏差对立案统计的影响是极小的,造成立案统计不实的根本因素应该是“主动型”偏差。为了测估本地立案统计中的“主动型”偏差程度,广东省韶关市公安局于1995年12月、1996年2月和7月、1997年4月对本市部分县区进行了抽样调查。经统计,调查的六县(区)1995年1-10月份立案率为
Shaoguan City, false investigation and assessment of the degree of truth We believe that there are two main factors leading to statistical errors on the case: First, the masses do not report the case for various reasons - “passive” deviation; Second, the masses reported the case and in line with the case Standard, but the public security organs did not open the case - “active ” deviation. In fact, the influence of the “passive” deviation on the statistics of the case is extremely small. The fundamental factor that causes the false statistics of the case should be the “active type” deviation. In order to assess the degree of “active” deviation in local filing statistics, Shaoguan Public Security Bureau of Guangdong Province conducted a sample survey on some counties and districts in December 1995, February 1996 and July 1997, and April 1997 in the city . According to the statistics, the investigation rate of the six counties (districts) from January to October 1995 was