论文部分内容阅读
2010年四季度,国内密集的两次加息打开了国家控制物价过速增长的调控窗口,虽然加息的幅度不是很大,但是从短期效果看的确抑制了资金比较泛滥的现阶段的看涨预期。价格走势最为疯狂的棉花和豆油行情都出现了大幅的下跌,上涨预期最为强烈的玉米也受到了一定的压制。不过紧缩的政策从时间上看缺乏一定的持续性,因为毕竟下年的经济目标是保增长控通胀,在CPI指数受到调控后紧缩的目的就有所达到,经济的增长放缓也是政府不能容忍的,再度的刺激政策依然可期,国内的物价水平仍将呈现螺旋状增长的态势。
In the fourth quarter of 2010, the two closely controlled domestic rate hikes opened the window for the state to control the price spike. Although the interest rate hike was not large, the short-term effect did suppress the bullish forecast for the current period . The most crazy cotton and soybean oil prices have shown a sharp decline in prices, the most anticipated rise in corn has also been some suppression. However, the tightening policy lacks certain continuity in terms of time. After all, the economic objective for the next year is to maintain growth-controlled inflation, which is achieved only after the CPI is tightened and controlled. The slowdown of economic growth is also intolerable by the government The stimulus policy once again is still expected, the domestic price level will continue to show a spiral growth.