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使用扩展的钱纳里—塞尔奎因模型分析了1985~2007年资源再配置对中国工业增长的影响效应。研究发现,1985年以来我国工业整体生产效率的提高主要依赖于工业行业自身全要素生产率的提高,“结构红利”发挥了一定作用,但并不显著。我国工业资源再配置“弱效应”的直接原因是资本和劳动力的配置不合理,而深层次的根源在于政府主导性的投融资体制、劳动力市场的供求失衡以及不合理的收入分配制度。提高中国工业资源再配置效应的关键是进一步完善中国的投融资市场与劳动力市场,发挥市场在引导要素流动和实现资源优化配置方面的核心作用。
The effect of resource relocation from 1985 to 2007 on China’s industrial growth was analyzed using the extended Chinaris-Selquinn model. The study finds that since 1985, the improvement of the overall industrial production efficiency in China mainly depends on the improvement of the total factor productivity of the industrial sector itself. However, the “structural bonus” has played a certain role, but it is not significant. The direct reason for the reallocation of industrial resources in China is that the allocation of capital and labor is unreasonable. The underlying causes are the government-led investment and financing system, the imbalance between supply and demand in the labor market and an unreasonable income distribution system. The key to improving the reallocation effect of China’s industrial resources is to further improve China’s investment and financing market and labor market and play a central role in guiding the flow of constituents and optimizing the allocation of resources in the market.