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一、预测及其意义预测是对事物未来发展作出科学预计和推测的一门实用科学。其目的是通过对事物过去与现在状况的分析去认识它和与它相关诸因素的发展规律,以便推测某些不确定因素的未来状况,作为当前决策的依据。现代生产是复杂的社会化生产。一个部门或一个企业的生产必须依赖其他部门提供人力资源、技术装备、原材料、燃料及劳务;它的产品品种、规格、产量、质量与价格又必须与社会需求状况和购买能力相适应;产品销售效果和赢利水平还与社会上同类产品的状况密切相关。这些都使任何生产计
I. Forecasting and Meaning Prediction is a practical science that makes scientific predictions and projections on the future development of things. Its purpose is to understand the development law of its and its related factors through the analysis of the past and present conditions of things, in order to infer the future status of certain uncertainties, as the basis for the current decision. Modern production is a complex social production. The production of a department or a company must rely on other departments to provide human resources, technical equipment, raw materials, fuels, and labor services; its product variety, specifications, output, quality, and price must also be adapted to the needs of the society and the purchasing power; product sales. The level of effectiveness and profitability is also closely related to the status of similar products in society. These all make any production meter