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为了揭示安徽省居民收入与消费的关系,本文以1984～2009年安徽省的相关统计资料为样本,从城镇和农村两个角度进行协整分析,并在协整分析的基础上构建误差修正模型。结果表明:安徽省城镇居民及农村居民的收入和消费之间均存在长期的均衡关系。要促进安徽省城镇及农村消费市场以拉动经济增长,长期来看,刺激消费的政策是无效的,切实增加城镇居民、尤其是农村居民收入才是有效的。
In order to reveal the relationship between resident income and consumption in Anhui Province, this paper takes the relevant statistical data of Anhui Province from 1984 to 2009 as a sample, carries out co-integration analysis from urban and rural areas, and builds the error correction model based on co-integration analysis . The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between income and consumption of urban residents and rural residents in Anhui Province. To promote urban and rural consumer markets in Anhui Province to stimulate economic growth, in the long run, policies to stimulate consumption are ineffective and it is effective to effectively increase the incomes of urban residents, especially rural residents.