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近年来,旅游经济研究学者注重应用组合预测法进行旅游经济相关数据的分析预测,并组建了实用价值较高的数据分析模型。将组合预测方法应用于旅游经济的分析预测中能够进行准确的现状分析,并基于现状与经济发展趋势背景预测出经济的发展前景,此外应用组合模型还可以进行影响研究,实践作用明显。笔者认为将组合预测方法应用于旅游经济预测中能够提供经济发展趋势提供有效的数据参考,进而利于经济政策的制定。
In recent years, tourism economics scholars pay attention to the application of the combination forecasting method to forecast and analyze the tourism economy related data, and set up a practical and valuable data analysis model. The combined forecasting method can be applied to the analysis and prediction of tourism economy to make an accurate analysis of the current situation and to predict the economic development prospects based on the current situation and the economic development trend. In addition, the application of the combined model can also study the impact and have obvious practical functions. The author believes that the combination of forecasting methods applied to the forecast of tourism economy can provide economic development trends to provide an effective data reference, and thus conducive to the formulation of economic policy.