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2011年,受房地产调控政策和宏观经济紧缩效应的双重影响,房地产市场开始进入量价齐跌的景气下行周期,房地产调控初见成效。展望2012年,受宏观经济减速、信贷的持续收紧和限购政策的维持和扩大化的影响,房地产行业将步入衰退期,房价将持续下跌,销量也将震荡下行。为防止房价大幅下跌对宏观经济和银行业资产质量的冲击,房地产调控需要在“稳经济增长,促房市回归”中找到一条平衡之路。
In 2011, due to the dual influence of real estate regulation and control policies and macroeconomic tightening effects, the real estate market started to enter the cycle of boom and down in volume and price, and real estate regulation and control achieved initial success. Looking forward to 2012, affected by the macroeconomic slowdown, the continued tightening of credit and the restriction and expansion of the purchase restriction policy, the real estate industry will enter a recession, housing prices will continue to decline, sales will also shock down. In order to prevent the sharp drop in housing prices on the macroeconomic and banking asset quality impact of real estate regulation and control in the need to “stabilize economic growth, promote housing market return” to find a balance of the road.