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2013年以来国家加大了政策性粮源的投放,小麦市场供给紧张态势得以缓解,价格走势由春节前后的小幅上涨逐渐转为平稳。2013/14年度全球小麦产量可能创新高,供需状况改善,国际小麦价格高位回落。目前,新季小麦丰收在望,小麦市场后备粮源较为充足而需求逐渐进入淡季,后期国内小麦价格整体将维持平稳走势;全球小麦供需前景看好,使得国际小麦价格缺乏大幅上涨的动力。
Since 2013, the state has stepped up the deployment of policy-oriented grain sources and the tightening of supply in the wheat market has eased. The price trend has gradually shifted from a slight rise around the Spring Festival to a steady one. Global wheat production could hit record highs in 2013/14 with improved supply and demand and high international wheat prices. At present, the harvest of new season wheat is on the horizon. The reserve grain supply in the wheat market is relatively adequate while the demand gradually enters the off-season. In the latter part of the year, domestic wheat prices will generally maintain a steady trend. The global outlook for wheat supply and demand is promising, resulting in a lack of substantial impetus to the international wheat price hike.