(一)一枚铜元在十次抛掷中结果都是正面朝上,有人断言作第十一次抛掷时背面朝上的可能较大.他觉得既然出现正面与出现背面本来是“等可能”的,现在接连十次出现正面,下次出现背面的可能当然要大些,不如此就维持不住均衡了. 但是这个断语是错误的.如果一个都市里有二十家戏院和二十家电影院,你信步走去,竟然一连碰到十家戏院,没有碰到一家电影院.我们可以断言,你再走下去时,下一次碰到电影院 (A) A copper coin in the ten throws results are all facing up. Some people assert that when the eleven throws are reversed upwards may be larger. He thinks that since the emergence of the front and back there is already “likely” Now that we have seen positives ten times in a row, the next time we appear on the back, we may have to be bigger. If we don’t, we will not be able to maintain an equilibrium. But this assertion is wrong. If there are twenty cinemas and twenty cinemas in a city, You walked and went across ten theaters in a row. You didn’t run into a movie theater. We can assert that when you go down, you come to the next movie theater