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本文基于引力模型,对2007~2013年中国同14个欧亚贸易伙伴国的面板数据进行时间效应回归,得出:以往中国同主要贸易伙伴的贸易往来多通过海运进行,距离越远,贸易成本越高;在与中国距离相同的两个贸易国中,与某国存在陆地运输通道,会比不存在陆运通道的国家发生更多贸易。中国作为海陆兼备的国家,2013年提出的“一带一路”战略倡导与欧亚国家的互联互通建设将为促进中国同欧亚国家贸易发挥积极影响。
Based on the gravity model, this paper regresses the time effect of the panel data of China and 14 Eurasian trading partners from 2007 to 2013, and concludes that: In the past, trade between China and its major trading partners was mostly carried out by sea; the farther the distance, the more the trade cost The higher the trade volume between countries with the same trade distance to China is, the more land-transit routes exist with a country than the countries with no land routes. As a country both in land and sea, China advocated the “Belt and Road Initiative” proposed in 2013 to promote the interconnection and interoperability with Eurasian countries and will play a positive role in boosting China’s trade with Eurasian countries.