中国经济当前处在重要关口上。很多人认为当前经济的主要风险是经济过热,但是,我担心当前中国经济会遇到另一种风险:在投资还未形成过热之势的时候误以为已经过热,采取过急过强的控制措施,导致经济上升半途夭折。 自1993年下半年至2002年底近10年时间里,中国经济没有出现过热趋势未及早预防而失控的局面,相反,至少有过两次回升势头刚刚出现便被过早过强的防热措施压退了 China’s economy is currently at an important juncture. Many people think that the main risk to the current economy is the overheating economy. However, I am worried that there is another risk facing the current Chinese economy: mistakenly overheated when investment has not yet become overheated, and overly aggressive measures have been taken , Resulting in an economic downturn halfway. In the nearly 10 years since the second half of 1993 to the end of 2002, there was no situation in which the Chinese economy did not have an overheated trend of losing control without early prevention. On the contrary, at least two rebound trends have just been overdone. Return