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盆地模拟在现代油气勘探、石油地质综合研究以及油气资源评价中都发挥着重要的作用。本文基于大量文献调研,结合近几年研究认识,系统概述了盆地和含油气系统模拟(Basin and Petroleum System Modelling,BPSM)在国内外的研究现状及存在的问题,指出了地层正演和含油气系统耦合及地应力和含油气系统耦合模拟的盆地模拟发展趋势。认为盆地模拟将来的发展方向是:1)三维、高精度和高计算速度模拟;2)新算法应用和新模块嵌入;3)静态地质要素定量表征精细化;4)构造复杂地区盆地模拟;5)常规-非常规油气系统联合模拟。
Basin modeling plays an important role in modern oil and gas exploration, integrated petroleum geology research and oil and gas resource assessment. Based on a large amount of literature research and combined with the research findings in recent years, this paper systematically summarizes the research status and existing problems of basin and petroleum system modeling (BPSM) at home and abroad, System Coupling and Basin Modeling Trends in Coupled Simulation of Geostress and Hydrocarbon-bearing Systems. It is considered that the future directions of basin modeling are: 1) 3D, high precision and high computational speed simulation; 2) application of new algorithms and new module embedding; 3) quantitative characterization of static geologic elements; 4) basin modeling in complex areas; ) Conventional - Unconventional Oil and Gas System Joint Simulation.