一切复杂的社会过程,从它的萌芽状态到它的完全成熟,都要经过几个发展阶段,即经过有可能对这个过程的内容作出理论分析的阶段,到有可能比较有把握地阐述这个过程的结局意味着什么的阶段。当然,对各种社会现象的一切发展阶段进行分析是理论工作的职责,决不能迟迟不予履行;但是经过一个长的时期,从经验中积累了大量事实后,理论工作就可在更高的分析水平上作出判断和结论,可以纠正最初的设想或对这种 All complex social processes, from its budding state to its full maturity, go through several stages of development, that is, it is possible to state the process more confidently, possibly through a theoretical analysis of the content of the process The outcome of what the stage means. Of course, it is the duty of theoretical work to analyze all stages of the development of various social phenomena and must not be delayed. However, after a long period of time, a great deal of facts have been accumulated from experience, theoretical work can be carried out at a higher level The level of analysis makes judgments and conclusions that can correct the original assumptions or about this