论文部分内容阅读
矿产资源对一国的国民经济发展具有重要的战略意义。论文在分析已有文献资料的基础上,结合数据可获得性原则构建我国区域矿产资源竞争力评价指标体系,并详细阐述各指标的计量方法。然后,运用多指标输入/输出复杂系统的相对有效性评价方法———数据包络分析(DEA)法,并收集2000—2009年数据对我国区域(东部、中部和西部)矿产资源竞争力进行评估,揭示其变化规律。最后,用我国区域2000—2009年的“矿产资源竞争力”和“人均GDP增长率”分别代表其矿产资源的丰裕程度和经济发展水平,结合协整检验和Granger因果分析法验证矿产的“资源诅咒”假说在我国区域间是否成立。研究结果显示:①随着时间的推移以及我国市场经济的发展,区域矿产资源竞争力在不断地提升。另外,我国三大区域的矿产资源竞争力与其所拥有的矿产资源储量成反比;②区域矿产资源竞争力与其经济发展水平呈长期稳定的均衡、双向因果关系,得出矿产的“资源诅咒”假说不成立的结论。上述研究成果对于我国如何提升矿产资源竞争力及利用矿产资源发展区域经济具有极其重要的指导意义。
Mineral resources have important strategic significance for the national economic development of a country. Based on the analysis of the existing literature and data, combining with the principle of data availability, the paper constructs the index system of regional mineral resources competitiveness evaluation and elaborates the measurement methods of each index in detail. Then, using the method of relative validity evaluation of complex input / output system of multiple indicators - Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and the data collection from 2000 to 2009, the competitiveness of mineral resources in China’s regions (east, middle and west) Evaluate and reveal its changing rules. Finally, we use the “mineral resource competitiveness” and “per capita GDP growth rate” in China’s region from 2000 to 2009 to represent the abundance of mineral resources and the level of economic development respectively. Combining cointegration test and Granger causality analysis Mineral’s “resource curse” hypothesis in our region is established. The results show that: (1) With the passage of time and the development of market economy in our country, the competitiveness of mineral resources in the region is constantly improving. In addition, the competitiveness of mineral resources in the three major regions of China is inversely proportional to the reserves of mineral resources owned by them; (2) the competitiveness of mineral resources in the region is in long-term and stable equilibrium with its economic development level, and the two-way causal relationship leads to the “resource curse” Hypothesis does not hold the conclusion. The above research results for our country how to enhance the competitiveness of mineral resources and the use of mineral resources for the development of regional economy has an extremely important guiding significance.