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从1999年至2008年国际金融危机之前,俄罗斯经济保持了年均近7%的高速增长。2007年,其经济总量恢复到转轨初期的水平,从而结束了恢复性增长并进入投资增长阶段。然而,投资不足成为其经济可持续、健康发展的掣肘。由于经济转轨及其造成的严重衰退,俄罗斯在1990年代经历了“去工业化”的过程,经济结构遭到严重破坏,加之高通胀以及政治等因素的影响,俄提前进入消费型经济。本文认为,俄罗斯要想实现经济增长方式的转变,进而实现经济现代化,加大投资对经济的拉动作用,建立投资型增长方式是关键。
From 1999 to 2008 before the international financial crisis, the Russian economy maintained an average annual growth rate of nearly 7%. In 2007, its total economy recovered to the initial stage of transition, thus ending the resumption of growth and entering the investment growth stage. However, insufficient investment has become a constraint on the sustainable and healthy development of its economy. Due to the economic transition and the serious recession it caused, Russia experienced the process of “deindustrialization” in the 1990s, the economic structure was severely damaged, and with the impact of high inflation and political factors, Russia advanced into the consumer-oriented economy in advance. This paper argues that if Russia wants to realize the transformation of the mode of economic growth, then realize the economic modernization, increase the stimulating effect of investment on the economy and establish the mode of investment-oriented growth as the key.