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基于地市入境旅游人数和相关经济统计数据,运用基尼系数和主成份回归等分析方法,探讨了1999～2008年中国入境旅游规模空间分布和内部结构变化的规律及相关因素。结果表明,全国、三大地带和大部分省份的空间分布都属集聚型,但其集中性基本呈现下降趋势,且这种变化趋势体现在内部结构的变化上也有明显地一致性。进一步分析表明,总体上,不同规模等级和空间层次的空间分布不平衡程度越低,趋向分散的态势就越明显。这种空间分布变化与旅游发展条件的不断改善存在正的相关性。在各地区旅游业得到全面发展、旅游需求发生结构性变化的转型时期,经济发展、产业结构优化、对外经济开放度、市场发展和基础设施条件等因素对缩小地区入境旅游规模空间差异的作用日益凸现,旅游发展机制向多元化因素驱动转变。
Based on the number of inbound tourists and related economic statistics, this paper uses the Gini coefficient and principal component analysis to analyze the law and related factors of the spatial distribution and internal structure of inbound tourism in China from 1999 to 2008. The results show that the spatial distributions of the whole country, the three major regions and most provinces belong to the agglomeration type, but their concentration basically shows a downward trend, and this change trend is also evident in the change of the internal structure. Further analysis shows that, overall, the lower the degree of spatial distribution imbalance at different scales and spatial levels, the more obvious the trend of divergence. There is a positive correlation between this spatial distribution change and continuous improvement of tourism development conditions. In the transitional period of all-round tourism development and the structural change of tourist demand, the role of economic development, optimization of industrial structure, foreign economic openness, market development and infrastructure conditions has increasingly played an important role in narrowing the spatial variation of inbound tourism in various regions Highlight that the tourism development mechanism to diversification-driven changes.