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本文拟基于我国钢铁市场的需求状况和钢铁产量饱和点分析,预测2006年～2020年的粗钢需求量,在扣除废钢利用量之后,推算各水平年的国产矿石需求量与外贸铁矿石进口量。一、2006年粗钢需求量估算1.我国粗钢产量快速增长我国近十年来粗钢产量快速增长,如表1所示:表11996～2005年我
Based on the demand of steel market in our country and the analysis of the saturation point of steel production, this paper predicts the demand of crude steel from 2006 to 2020. After deducting the utilization of scrap, we calculate the demand of domestic ore and the import of iron ore from foreign trade the amount. I. Estimation of Crude Steel Demand in 2006 1. Rapid Growth of Crude Steel Output in China Rapid growth of crude steel output in China in the past decade is shown in Table 1. Table 11996 ~ 2005