一、德尔菲法及其特点德尔菲（De1Phii旧译“特尔菲”，原是古希腊的一座古城名。在古希腊神话中，人们把德尔菲城看成是能够预告未来的神谕之地。德尔菲法是美国兰德公司首创的一种情报研究的方法。当时，随着科学技术和社会的发展，情报研究课题更加多样复杂，特别是一些预测 First, the Delphi method and its characteristics Delphi (De1Phii old translation “Delphi”, was originally an ancient Greek city name in ancient Greek mythology, the people of Delphi city as a foretold future oracle . Delphi method is the United States of America Rand Corporation first a way of intelligence research.At that time, with the development of science and technology and society, intelligence research topics more varied and complex, in particular, some predictions