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本文利用江西省307位农户的调查数据,运用二元Probit模型实证分析了影响农户参与用水协会自述偏好与现实选择一致性的因素。结果显示,尽管有超过86%的农户对参与用水协会有自述偏好,但仍有一部分农户自述偏好与现实选择相悖离。进一步的实证研究表明,经营规模、农户对协会性质与功能的认知、农户获取用水协会信息的途径、村灌溉渠系完好率、政府支持程度对农户参与用水协会的自述偏好与现实选择的一致性有显著正向影响,而家中14岁以下小孩数、非农就业规模有显著负向影响。
Based on the survey data of 307 farmers in Jiangxi Province, this paper empirically analyzes the factors that affect the consistency of self-reported preference and realistic choice of WUAs. The results show that although more than 86% of farmers have a self-reported preference for participating WUAs, some farmers’ self-reported preferences are still contrary to realistic choices. Further empirical studies show that the scale of operation, farmers ’cognition of the nature and function of associations, ways of farmers’ access to WUA information, the intact rate of irrigation canal system and the degree of government support are consistent with the self-reported preferences and realistic choices of WUAs Have a significant positive impact, while the number of children under the age of 14 at home, non-farm employment scale has a significant negative impact.