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受经济增速趋缓、电力等能源供应形势好转、替代能源较快发展等因素影响,三季度石油需求增速略有回落。因国际油价上涨而国内成品油价格相对较低,三季度原油加工量和大部分油品产量增速有所下降;石油进口继续较快增长,出口增速也加快。三季度国内原油基准价波动上涨,成品油零售中准价没有调整。预计四季度国内原油产量增速仍将平缓,原油加工量和多数油品产量增速将有所下降,石油进口将受到影响,出口增速将有所加快,成品油供应形势不容乐观。原油价格将保持高位,成品油价格没有下调空间,上调幅度也不会太大。
Affected by the slowdown in economic growth, improved supply of electricity and other energy sources and the rapid development of alternative energy sources, the growth rate of oil demand declined slightly in the third quarter. Due to the rising international oil prices, the domestic refined oil prices are relatively low. The processing volume of crude oil and the growth rate of most oil products in the third quarter have declined. The import of petroleum continues to grow rapidly and the export growth accelerates. In the third quarter, the benchmark domestic crude oil price fluctuated and the retail price of refined oil products was not adjusted. It is expected that the growth of domestic crude oil output in the fourth quarter will still be moderate. The processing volume of crude oil and the growth of most oil production will decline. Oil imports will be affected. The export growth will be accelerated. The supply of refined oil products will not be optimistic. Crude oil prices will remain high, refined oil prices did not cut space, the increase will not be too large.