按照传统经济学的边际分析方法,网络产业继续向低端市场扩张,势必造成利润下降甚至全面亏损;如果不继续扩张,由于资源、能源的约束,传统工业化道路难以为继,整个经济还可能陷入停滞。要摆脱这种境地,深入研究并进行一场理论创新和制度创新可能是一条重要出路。文中探讨了传统经济学理念在当前电信业发展中所面临的问题,提出应通过建立普遍服务机制,形成“服务穷人也有利可图”的制度安排,把先进的信息生产力直接向大众市场渗透。摘 要: According to the marginal analysis method of traditional economics, the network industry will continue to expand into the low-end market, which will inevitably result in a drop in profits and even an overall loss. Without further expansion, due to the constraints of resources and energy, the traditional industrialization will be unsustainable and the economy may fall into Stagnation. To get out of this situation, in-depth study and conduct a theoretical innovation and institutional innovation may be an important way out. This paper discusses the problems faced by the traditional economic philosophy in the current development of telecom industry, and proposes that a system of “serving the poor and profitable” should be formed through the establishment of a universal service mechanism to penetrate the advanced information productivity directly into the mass market. Summary: