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本文主要探讨的是政府投资对私人投资是否存在挤出效应。首先,对挤出效应相关的概念进行了阐述。其次,运用我国1994年至2012年的宏观年度数据建立模型,进行相关实证分析。分析结果表明,在该期间内政府投资对私人投资有促进作用,与凯恩斯的传统理论相矛盾。因此,本文从我国的具体情况出发进一步分析产生这种差异的原因,从而得出相关结论。
This article mainly explores whether there is a crowding-out effect of government investment on private investment. First, the concept of extrusion-related effects is described. Secondly, using the macroscopic annual data from 1994 to 2012 in our country to establish the model and carry out relevant empirical analysis. The analysis shows that during the period, government investment has a positive effect on private investment, contradicting Keynes’s traditional theory. Therefore, this article from the specific conditions of our country to further analyze the reasons for this difference, and thus draw the relevant conclusions.