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到1997年底,全国累计库存约3万亿元,其中1.3万亿元为非正常库存:在消费品、投资品和某些基础设施方面,供给明显大于需求:机械加工和家电行业设备闲置率高达40-50%。这一经济现象引起了人们的许多思考: 中国是否真的走入了“过剩经济”? 我们的收入水平处于什么阶段? 我们的基础设施能力是不是也过剩了? 相对过剩为什么会在社会主义初级阶段提前出现? 新的需求拉动力将从哪里产生? 我们的发展空间还有多大?
By the end of 1997, China had accumulated a total of about 3 trillion yuan in inventory, of which 1.3 trillion yuan was non-normal. In the consumer goods, investment products and certain infrastructure, the supply was obviously greater than the demand: the idle rate of machinery processing and appliance industry equipment was as high as 40 -50%. This economic phenomenon aroused many people’s thinking: China is really into the “excess economy”? Our income level is at what stage? Our infrastructure capacity is not also excess? Why is the relative surplus of society The early stage of the doctrine appears ahead of time? Where will the new demand pull force come from? How much room for development?