借助灰色系统理论对新疆2004-2010年肺结核发病率进行研究,建立不同维度的静态GM(1,1)模型与动态等维递补灰预测模型对数据进行模拟和预测.针对新疆肺结核疫情发病率数据,探索建立新疆肺结核疫情传播预测模型,为肺结核防治提供科学依据. Based on the gray system theory, the incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis in Xinjiang from 2004 to 2010 was studied, and the static GM (1,1) model with different dimensions and the dynamic equal-dimensional gray prediction model were established to simulate and predict the data.According to the incidence of tuberculosis in Xinjiang , Explore the establishment of Xinjiang TB epidemic situation prediction model for the prevention and treatment of tuberculosis provide a scientific basis.