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本文使用第二波亚洲民主价值观调查13个亚洲国家和地区的数据,运用有序logistic回归模型和多层线性模型(HLM),检验了公众犯罪受害经历、国家(地区)的犯罪率(谋杀率)对公众政治信任(政府机构信任和弥散性信任)的影响。本文发现,无论是个体的犯罪受害经历,还是国家(地区)层面的谋杀率都显著降低了个体的政治信任。有犯罪受害经历的公众的政府机构信任度和政治弥散性信任度都低于没有犯罪受害经历的公众。一国(地区)的谋杀率越高,公众的政府机构信任度也越低。但是谋杀率对弥散性信任的影响较弱。既有的研究几乎只专注于拉美地区个体层面的犯罪受害经历对政治信任的影响,本文首次将研究的视角扩展到亚洲国家和地区,并且使用多层线性模型分析国家(地区)层次犯罪率的影响。
This paper uses the second wave of Asian democratic values to investigate data from 13 Asian countries and uses an ordered logistic regression model and a multi-level linear model (HLM) to examine the experience of victims of crime, the crime rate of the country (murder rate ) On public political trust (trust in government agencies and diffuse trust). This article finds that whether it is the experience of an individual victimizing a crime or the murder rate at the national (or regional) level, the individual’s political trust is significantly reduced. The public trust in the government agencies and the degree of political diffusive trust that have suffered from the crime victimization are lower than those of the public who have no experience of the crime victimization. The higher the murder rate in a country (region), the lower the public’s trust in government agencies. However, the impact of murder on diffuse trust is weaker. The existing researches focus almost exclusively on the influence of criminal victimization experience on political trust at the individual level in Latin America. For the first time, this article extends the research perspective to Asian countries and regions and uses a multi-layered linear model to analyze the crime rates at the state level influences.