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地震预测研究面临低水平的预测与政府和公众的高期望值的矛盾。加强机理研究是根本出路之一。地震前兆观测属于广义地球物理反演，它不应照搬地球物理勘探的现成方法，而应找出新的思路。中国与美国、前苏联和日本等国家地震发生的构造背景不同，应发展适合中国大陆地质条件的震源物理理论和方法。地震前兆机理研究存在３个完备性问题：①地震前兆存在性与不存在性的正反两个方面的论证；②前兆物理量的可测性论证；③实验模拟条件的相似性论证。这３个完备性是判断该研究是否成熟的重要标志。地震预测实验场的设立，不宜采用无把握的“守株待兔”的办法。建议将实验场设立在必然有多次发生诱发构造地震可能的矿山或大型水库。
Earthquake prediction research is confronted with the contradiction between the low level of prediction and the high expectations of the government and the public. Strengthening the mechanism of research is one of the fundamental way out. Earthquake precursory observations belong to generalized geophysical inversion. It should not copy the ready-made methods of geophysical prospecting, but should find new ideas. Different from the tectonic setting of the earthquakes in China, the United States, the former Soviet Union and Japan, it is necessary to develop hypocenter physical theories and methods that are suitable for the geological conditions in mainland China. There are three completeness problems in the study of earthquake precursors: (1) the positive and negative proofs of the existence and non-existence of the earthquake precursors; (2) the verifiability of precursory physical quantities; (3) the similarity of experimental simulation conditions. These three completeness is an important symbol to judge whether the research is mature. The establishment of the earthquake prediction experimental field should not be used without any confidence. It is suggested that the experimental field should be set up in mines or large reservoirs that are likely to have multiple induced tectonic earthquakes possible.