论文部分内容阅读
从当前世界大国实际综合国力的格局及各自发展的有利条件和不利因素看,90年代和21世纪大国地位可能发生变化的趋势是:至21世纪初,日本可能在经济实力方面超过美国,成为世界第一经济强国;但以综合国力衡量,仍然是美、苏、中三强。至21世纪中叶,美国综合国力的霸主地位将丧失,届时将是美、苏、中、日、德五强势均力敌并以各自的优势影响世界的时代。21世纪下半叶,这五强将拉开距离,谁能跑在前面,决定于当时各自的内外环境。中国如能一直保持政治稳定,不发生其他意外灾祸,使经济的增长速度能保持在6. 5％,就有可能在竞争中领先,迎接中国世纪的到来。
From the current pattern of actual comprehensive national strength of the world powers and the favorable conditions and unfavorable factors of their respective development, the trend that the status of big powers in the 1990s and the 21st century may change is that by the beginning of the 21st century Japan may surpass the United States in economic strength and become the world The first economic power; but to measure the overall national strength, still the United States, the Soviet Union, the third. By the middle of the 21st century, the dominance of the United States in comprehensive national strength will be lost and it will be an era in which the United States, the Soviet Union, Japan, and the German top five are evenly matched and their respective advantages influence the world. The second half of the 21st century, the top five will be distanced, who can run in front, decided at the time of their respective internal and external environment. If China can maintain its political stability at all times and will not cause other unexpected calamities so that the economy can grow at a rate of 6.5%, it will be possible to lead the competition and meet the arrival of China’s century.