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省域经济的发展情况一直是我国重点关注的经济问题,但是单一的评价方法很难有效地对省域经济这样一个复杂而又重要的问题给出科学评价。本文首先运用层次分析、灰色综合评价和“层次分析法+灰色综合评价”的组合评价方法,选取1992年、1997年、2002年、2007年、2012年5个年度31个省(区、市)的数据进行综合评价,得到三种方法的综合排名结果。其次,利用组合评价方法得到的各地区综合排名情况进行动态分析,得出我国省域经济发展呈现“东部平稳、中部发展、西部落后”格局的结论。最后,就促进我国省域经济发展提出决策建议。
The development of provincial economy has always been an economic issue of major concern to our country, but it is difficult for a single evaluation method to effectively give a scientific assessment of such a complex and important issue as provincial economy. In this paper, we first select 31 provinces (districts, autonomous regions, municipalities and autonomous regions) in 1992, 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2012 with the method of AHP, gray comprehensive evaluation and “AHP + gray comprehensive evaluation” City) data to conduct a comprehensive evaluation, the results of the three methods were integrated ranking. Secondly, using the method of portfolio evaluation, we get a dynamic analysis of the comprehensive ranking of each region, and draw the conclusion that the development of provincial economy in our country shows the pattern of “stable in the east, developing in the middle and backward in the west”. Finally, make suggestions on how to promote the economic development in our province.