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采用江西省1989—2015年27年地区生产总值和进、出口额的数据,建立协整回归方程,实证分析江西省对外贸易对经济增长的影响,结果表明江西省地区生产总值与出口额之间是正相关的关系,出口额的增加,对江西省地区生产总值有明显的促进作用,即出口额每增长1%,则江西省地区生产总值将增长约0.52%;同时,地区生产总值与进口额之间也是正相关的关系,即进口额每增长1%,江西省地区生产总值将增长约0.20%。因而,江西省对外贸易的增长都会促进经济的增长。
Based on the data of 27 years’ GDP and import and export from 1989 to 2015 in Jiangxi Province, a cointegration regression equation is established to analyze the impact of foreign trade on economic growth in Jiangxi Province. The results show that the GDP of Jiangxi Province and the export value Is a positive correlation between the increase in exports, Jiangxi Province, the regional GDP has a significant role in promoting, that is, exports for every 1% increase in the GDP of Jiangxi Province will grow by about 0.52%; the same time, the regional production There is also a positive correlation between the total value and the amount of imports, that is, for every 1% increase in imports, GDP in Jiangxi Province will increase by about 0.20%. Therefore, the growth of foreign trade in Jiangxi Province will promote economic growth.