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中国国家发展改革委员会在2008年6月19日宣布调整部分能源产品价格,其中,规定自7月1日起将全国销售电价平均每kW.h提高2.5分钱。电力工业作为一个基础性的能源产业,其产品渗透到了经济体的各个方面,对经济发展和社会进步起着不可低估的作用,其价格调整必将引起相关产业部门的相应调整,进而影响到整个经济体的运行和社会生活的稳定。基于投入产出方法,量化了此次电价调整对经济的影响,并设定了不同的调价方案,分析了不同调价方案对经济运行的影响程度。通过分析,得出的结论是:此次电价调整在社会可承受范围之内,不会对经济产生太大的不利影响,未来的电价仍然有调升的空间;电价变动对不同部门产生的影响不同,在制定电价政策时,应充分考虑各个部门的承受能力,做到既有利于电力工业发展,又有利于产业结构的优化。
China’s National Development and Reform Commission announced on June 19, 2008 the adjustment of prices of some energy products, which stipulated that the national sales price will be raised by 2.5 cents per kW.h on July 1 on average. As a basic energy industry, the power industry infiltrates into every aspect of the economy and plays an important role in economic development and social progress. The price adjustment will surely cause the relevant industry departments to adjust accordingly, thus affecting the entire The operation of the economy and the stability of social life. Based on the input-output method, this paper quantifies the economic impact of the electricity price adjustment and sets different price adjustment plans, and analyzes the impact of different price adjustment plans on the economic operation. Through analysis, the conclusion is: the price adjustment within the socially acceptable range, will not have too much adverse impact on the economy, the future price of electricity still have room for upward adjustment; changes in electricity prices in different sectors impact Differently, when formulating the electricity tariff policy, the affordability of each department should be fully taken into consideration so as to be beneficial to the development of the power industry and to the optimization of the industrial structure.