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本文利用全国及各省市区的时间序列和面板数据,实证分析社会公共消费替代政府投资的就业效应。结果发现:从长期来看,我国社会公共消费替代政府投资的就业效应比较明显,能够显著增加就业和平均工资;但从区域来看,社会公共消费替代政府投资的就业效应存在较大的区域差异,而且社会公共消费替代政府投资的就业效应有递减的趋势。这源于目前中国就业市场并没有完全就业,就业潜力依然比较大。因此,需要界定好社会公共消费和政府投资的边界,努力扩大社会公共消费,改善民生,以直接和间接两种方式作用于就业,努力提高就业水平。
In this paper, we use the time series and panel data of the whole country, provinces and municipalities to empirically analyze the employment effects of social public consumption instead of government investment. The results show that: in the long run, the employment effect of public consumption instead of government investment in our country is obvious, which can significantly increase the employment and average salary; but from the perspective of the region, there is a big regional difference in the employment effect of social public consumption instead of government investment , And the employment effect of social public consumption instead of government investment has a decreasing trend. This is due to the current employment market in China is not fully employed, employment potential is still relatively large. Therefore, it is necessary to define the boundary between social public consumption and government investment, strive to expand public consumption and improve people’s livelihood, act directly and indirectly in employment, and strive to raise the level of employment.