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通过分析坑口电厂低碳经济系统的复杂结构特征和动态反馈机制,建立了坑口电厂低碳经济系统动力学模型,描述系统内部各要素之间的相互关系,并以平煤集团坑口电厂为例,对不同发展方案下的坑口电厂低碳经济系统进行仿真模拟.结果表明:科技投资、环保投资、能源利用率、能源消费结构等因素是影响坑口电厂低碳经济发展的关键因素;可以通过优化能源消费结构,提高煤矸石消耗比例;增加科技投资和环保投资,提高能源利用和转换效率,降低污染物和二氧化碳排放量,从而达到高效率、低能耗、低排放的低碳经济发展模式.
By analyzing the complex structural features and dynamic feedback mechanism of low carbon economy system in Hang Hau Power Plant, a kinetic model of low carbon economic system in Hang Hau Power Plant was established to describe the interrelationship among various elements in the system. Taking Pingkou Coal Mine Group as an example, The paper simulates the low-carbon economy system of Hang Hau Power Plant under different development scenarios.The results show that the key factors that affect the development of low-carbon economy in Hang Hau Power Plant are the factors such as investment in science and technology, environmental protection, energy efficiency and energy consumption structure, Consumption structure and increase the proportion of coal gangue consumption; increase investment in science and technology and environmental protection, improve energy utilization and conversion efficiency, reduce pollutants and carbon dioxide emissions, so as to achieve a low-carbon economy development model with high efficiency, low energy consumption and low emissions.