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介绍了全球气候变暖对流域水资源影响研究中流域随机模型的应用。根据 IPCC最新公布的 2 0 10～ 2 0 39年和 2 0 4 0～ 2 0 69年气候变化情景的 GCMs模拟结果 ,计算并讨论了广东东江流域未来相应期内不同保证率径流量可能发生的变化。
This paper introduces the application of global model to the study of the effects of global warming on watershed water resources. According to the IPCC latest published GCMs simulation results from 2010 to 2010 and from 2004 to 2020, the different guaranteed rates of runoff in the future corresponding period of Dongjiang River in Guangdong Province are calculated and discussed Variety.