2001年台湾经济陷入成长率负1.91％的空前大衰退,是结构性问题与短期因素的并发症。从2002年上半年来看,由于台湾当局未有良策,结构性问题依然如故,唯短期因素受外在经济景气的回升,使台湾经济出现了有限的复苏。 其实,台湾当前景气是否复苏,岛内争论颇剧。最近,“经建会”调查民间制造业者对三个月后的景气看法时,呈现转好者所占比例大减,转坏者大增的悲观 Taiwan’s economy plunged into an unprecedented grand recession with a negative growth rate of 1.91% in 2001, which is a complication of structural problems and short-term factors. From the first half of 2002, due to the unmanaged measures taken by the Taiwan authorities, the structural problems remain the same. Only the short-term factors, supported by the external economic boom, have shown a modest recovery in Taiwan’s economy. In fact, whether the current economic climate in Taiwan is recovering or not, the island is quite controversial. Recently, when the Commission for Economic Planning and Development surveyed civil manufacturers on the economic outlook after three months, they showed a pessimistic view that the proportion of transferees dropped drastically and the number of transferees soared