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本文主要从农村居民需求启动效应的视角分析了中国工业反哺农业的政府作用机制及其福利效果。本文分别从全局的视角、地方政府的视角、中央政府的视角和人口流动的视角出发考察了工业反哺农业处于转折点时的临界值并对这些临界值进行了比较静态分析。尽管工业反哺农业需要付出财政转移支付的成本,但是通过工业反哺农业却可以启动广大农村地区的内需,所以问题的关键在于如何在这两者之间进行正确的权衡。
This paper mainly analyzes the government mechanism and its welfare effect of China’s industrial nurturing agriculture from the perspective of the start-up effect of rural residents. This paper examines the critical values at the turning point of industrial nurturing agriculture from the perspective of the overall situation, from the perspective of the local government, from the perspective of the central government and from the perspective of population mobility, and makes a comparative static analysis of these critical values. Although industrial nurturing agriculture requires the cost of fiscal transfers, domestic demand in vast rural areas can be initiated through industry-fed agriculture, so the crux of the problem lies in how to strike the right balance between the two.