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本文以2015年全国流动人口动态监测调查北京、上海、广州三地数据为基础,对新生代和老生代流动人口城市居留意愿及其影响因素的差异进行了实证分析。研究发现,流动人口居留大城市的意愿较高,其中老生代流动人口居留意愿高于新生代,新生代流动人口内部出现分化,“80后”居留意愿较高,“90后”举棋不定者较多。流动人口居留意愿二元Logistics回归模型结果显示,性别、教育、职业、就业身份、收入等因素造成新生代和老生代流动人口居留意愿的差异。对新、老两代流动人口而言,家庭成员的陪伴和社会的接纳是决定他们是否在大城市“安居”的关键。
Based on the data from the 2015 National Mobile Population Surveillance Survey in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, this paper empirically analyzes the differences in the willingness to stay and the factors that affect the living in Cenozoic and Mesozoic Migrants. The study found that there is a high willingness of floating population to stay in the big cities, among which the living intention of the migrant population of the old generation is higher than that of the new generation, the differentiation of the floating population within the new generation, the higher will to stay after 80s, Indecisive more. The Binary Logistics Regression Model of Resident Willingness of Floating Population The results show that the differences of willingness to stay in the new generation and the Lao Sheng generation floating population are caused by such factors as gender, education, occupation, employment status and income. For new and old migrants, the companionship of family members and social acceptance are the keys to determining if they are in “big cities.”