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本文分析了总量控制和交易、基准排放和信用两种碳排放权交易体系中的价格决定原理,并以边际减排成本等于市场均衡价格为基础,分析《京都议定书》框架下国际碳排放权交易规模和利益分配不公等情况;然后构建两阶段模型,讨论“非附件B国家”碳排放权出口规模的决定因素及其影响效应,并通过估测中国碳排放权出口规模决定因素的函数值或参数值,计算中国第1承诺期的最优出口量;最后提出中国参与国际碳排放权交易的政策建议。
This paper analyzes the principle of price determination in the total emissions control and trading, benchmark emissions and credit carbon emissions trading system. Based on the analysis that the marginal emission reduction cost is equal to the equilibrium market price, the paper analyzes the international carbon emission rights under the Kyoto Protocol Trade scale and unfair distribution of benefits, and then build a two-stage model to discuss the determinants of the export scale of “non-Annex B countries” and their impact effects. By estimating the determinants of the scale of China’s carbon emissions, Function value or parameter value to calculate the optimal export volume during the first commitment period in China. Finally, the paper puts forward some policy proposals for China to participate in the international carbon emissions trading.