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对2011市场的预测从国家宏观层面看,政府在“十二五”规划中,将“富民”目标和任务明确提出并付诸实施;投资总额为6822亿元西部大开发10年规划的实施,会促使GDP再度增长。城镇化建设和发展能源工业等步伐还要不断加快,相关配套基础设施建设项目依然会相继上马。经济结构调整和固定资产投资,仍是重卡行业快速发展的主要推动力量。这些利好因素的综合作用,是重卡行业市场容量扩充和车辆更新换代的刚性需求成为现实的基础支撑。2011年,重卡行业市场容量不会直上骤下,而是趋于稳步持续发展,行业市场容量至少维持在90万辆左右。
Forecast of the Market for 2011 From the national macro level, the government clearly put forward and put into practice the goals and tasks of “enriching the people” in the “Twelfth Five-year Plan”. The total investment was 682.2 billion yuan for 10 years of western development The implementation of the plan will prompt GDP growth again. The pace of urbanization and the development of the energy industry should also continue to accelerate, and related supporting infrastructure projects will still be launched one after another. Adjustment of economic structure and investment in fixed assets are still the main driving forces for the rapid development of the heavy truck industry. The combined effect of these favorable factors is that the rigid demand of the heavy-duty truck industry in the market expansion and replacement of vehicles has become the basis for the reality. In 2011, the market capacity of the heavy truck industry will not be straightforward but tends to develop steadily and steadily. The industry market capacity will remain at at least 900,000 units.