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即将过去的2005年,世界经济仍然保持了2004年以来的良好增长态势,在新的一年,由于受到石油价格急剧上涨的挑战以及美国持续加息的影响,世界经济增长格局将会如何演变?为此,交通银行发展研究部和上海社会科学院世界经济研究所联合举办了“2006年世界经济金融形势展望”研讨会。与会专家就世界总体发展形势、美欧日经济、资本流动以及中国银行对外发展等话题展开了热烈的讨论。现将有关讨论情况汇编如下,以飨读者。
Towards the past 2005, the world economy still maintained a good momentum of growth since 2004. In the new year, how will the pattern of world economic growth evolve in the new year due to the challenge of a sharp rise in oil prices and the continuous rate hike in the United States? To this end, the Research Department of the Development Bank of Communications and the Institute of World Economics of the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences jointly organized a seminar on “Prospects for the World Economic and Financial Outlook 2006”. The participating experts held heated discussions on the overall development of the world, the economy in the United States, Europe, Japan, capital flows and the external development of the Bank of China. The relevant discussions are now compiled as follows.