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对贵州省产卷烟省内消费量及其影响因素进行了协整分析,结果显示:卷烟消费总量及各类烟消费量与国内生产总值、人口数之间均存在长期均衡关系。在协整回归基础上,建立了描述贵州省卷烟消费短期动态变化规律的误差修正模型。最后,运用西方消费理论,结合贵州省卷烟消费实际,对实证结果进行了解释与分析,并得出相关结论与建议。
A cointegration analysis was conducted on the provincial consumption of cigarettes produced in Guizhou Province and its influencing factors. The results showed that there was a long-term equilibrium relationship between the total consumption of cigarettes and the consumption of various types of cigarettes as well as the gross domestic product and population. On the basis of cointegration regression, an error correction model is established to describe the short-term dynamic changes of cigarette consumption in Guizhou Province. Finally, using the theory of Western consumption, combined with the actual consumption of cigarettes in Guizhou Province, the empirical results were explained and analyzed, and the relevant conclusions and suggestions were drawn.