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1959年Muench介绍了流行病学的催化模型以后,国外一些学者在流行病学的研究中,应用数学模型阐明疾病流行特征、人群感染与免疫的规律、验证预防效果、定量地测量一些传染病在人群中传播的平均速度等。近年来国内亦有一些学者开始引用。现将1985年在咸宁市温泉居民病毒性肝炎普查中,所搜集的有关温泉居民HBsAg年龄别阳性资料进行的催化模型分析,现简要报道如下。
After Muench introduced the catalytic model of epidemiology in 1959, some foreign scholars applied mathematical models to elucidate the epidemic characteristics of epidemics, the rules of population infection and immunity, and used the mathematical model to test the preventive effect and quantitatively measure some infectious diseases in the epidemiological study The average rate of spread in the population. In recent years, some scholars in China began to quote. Now 1985 in Xianning Hot Springs residents of viral hepatitis census, collected hot springs residents HBsAg age-positive data for the catalytic model analysis, are now briefly reported as follows.