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今年1-2月,社会消费品零售总额名义和实际增速均创同期新低,消费增长与投资、进出口增长出现分化,各大类消费增长普遍放缓,城乡消费同步增长趋势得以延续。今年支持消费增长的基本因素仍相对稳定和乐观,经济增速下滑带来的累积效应、物价总水平变化等短期因素对消费走势的影响更为明显。预计一季度社会消费品零售总额名义增速将达到12.9%,全年达到14.5%。建议以尊重消费者的自主选择权为基本出发点,重点围绕收入分配改革、社会保障体系完善、改善消费环境、形成可持续消费模式、促进消费升级、引导新型消费业态发展等方面制定政策,实现长短期消费政策的有机结合。
In the first two months of this year, the nominal and actual growth rates of total retail sales of consumer goods hit a record low over the same period. Consumption growth, investment and import-export growth split. Growth in all major categories of consumer goods generally slowed down. The trend of urban and rural consumption growth continued simultaneously. The basic factors supporting the growth of consumption this year are still relatively stable and optimistic. The short-term factors such as the cumulative effect caused by the slowdown in economic growth and changes in the general price level have a more pronounced impact on consumption trends. It is estimated that the nominal growth rate of total retail sales of social consumer goods in the first quarter will reach 12.9% and reach 14.5% for the whole year. Proposed to respect the right of consumers to choose as the basic starting point, focusing on income distribution reform, improve the social security system, improve the consumer environment, the formation of sustainable consumption patterns, promote consumption upgrade, guide the development of new forms of consumption and other aspects of the development of policies and achieve long Short-term consumption of organic combination of policies.