世界贸易组织(WTO)3月28日发表报告预测,1996年世界商品出口量预计可增长7％,略低于去年8％的增长率。这一预测的依据是,初级产品涨价,亚洲次工业化国家的经济增长率持续高于世界平均水平,以及拉美、中欧和前苏联各国的经济增长率提高;低于去年是因为欧美等主要工业国家产量和贸易量略有下降。 从金额看,去年的世界商品贸易额增长19％,达4.87万亿美元(1994年为4.09万亿美元),这很大程度上要归因于美元对日元和其他主要欧洲货币 A World Trade Organization (WTO) report released on March 28 predicted that world merchandise exports in 1996 are expected to increase by 7%, slightly lower than the 8% growth rate last year. The forecast is based on rising commodity prices, the sustained economic growth in the sub-industrialized countries in Asia and the world average, as well as the economic growth in Latin America, Central and former Soviet Union countries; lower than last year because of major industries such as Europe and the United States National output and trade volume declined slightly. In terms of the amount, last year’s world merchandise trade volume increased by 19% to 4.87 trillion U.S. dollars (1994: 4.09 trillion U.S. dollars), largely due to the appreciation of the U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen and other major European currencies