研究目标:更精确地反映全球价值链下中国产业供需不匹配和升级情况。研究方法:运用2016年WIOD投入产出表的数据,将中间品投入与吸收产业一一匹配以构造更微观的分类,计算出产业内贸易指数、出口技术复杂度等指数,并探讨了全球价值链嵌入对产业供需匹配的影响。研究发现:2001年以来中国产业供需不匹配程度高速增长,但增速不断降低,中国需求层面的技术复杂度水平普遍高于供给层面,而美国则正好相反;全球价值链地位、垂直专业化水平对供需不匹配程度的影响效果在不同收入水平国家间存在差异。研究创新:通过新产业分类从更微观的层面了解中国产业供需不匹配情况。研究价值:为中国未来的“供给侧结构性改革”和产业转型升级提供理论基础和政策建议。 Research Objectives: More accurately reflect the mismatch and upgrading of China’s industry supply and demand under global value chains. Research Methods: Using the data of the WIOD input-output table in 2016, we match the input of intermediates with the absorption industries to construct a more micro-classification, and calculate indices such as intra-industry trade index and export technical complexity, and discuss the relationship between global value The Effect of Chain Embedding on the Matching of Industry Supply and Demand. The results show that the disparity of supply and demand of Chinese industries has been increasing rapidly since 2001, but the growth rate has been declining. The technical complexity level of China’s demand level is generally higher than that of supply level, while that of the United States is just the opposite. The status of global value chain and vertical specialization The effect on the degree of mismatch between supply and demand is different among countries with different income levels. Research and Innovation: Learn more about the mismatch between supply and demand in China through the new industry classification from a more micro level. Research Value: To provide theoretical basis and policy recommendations for China’s future “supply-side structural reform” and industrial restructuring and upgrading.