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一、综合景气指数2016年9月化工行业综合景气指数终值为101.3,预计2016年10月景气指数初值为101.0,比9月下降0.3点,小幅下降。9月份,构成化工行业景气指数的3个分指数(经季节调整去除季节影响因素)与8月相比:价格分指数小幅上升,利润分指数和生产分指数均小幅下降。具体走势见图1。二、综合预警指数预计10月化工行业预警指数在绿灯区运行,初值较9月下降0.1点,预警指数为25.4,超过浅蓝灯区警戒线3.4点。具体走势见图2。
I. Comprehensive Prosperity Index The final value of the comprehensive industry sentiment index for the chemical industry in September 2016 is 101.3. The initial value of the prosperity index for October 2016 is expected to be 101.0, down 0.3 point from September, declining slightly. In September, the three sub-indices (seasonally adjusted to remove seasonal factors) that make up the sentiment index of the chemical industry were compared with those in August: the price index rose slightly while both the profit index and the production index declined slightly. The specific trend shown in Figure 1. Second, the comprehensive early warning index is expected in October the chemical industry early warning index in the green zone operation, the initial value of 0.1 points down from September, early warning index was 25.4, more than light blue light district cordon 3.4 points. The specific trend shown in Figure 2.