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为理解我们能指望地震预测可达到的水平，理解地震现象的动力学本质是非常重要的。它是周期性的吗？它是混沌的吗？它在时、空上是随机的吗？简单的数学模拟和与经验性观测的对比表明，我们面对的是一种自组织临界现象［１～４］。用ＰａｓｃａｌＢｅｒｎａｒｄ的说法，这...
To understand the level at which we can expect earthquake prediction to be attainable, it is important to understand the dynamical nature of seismic phenomena. Is it cyclical? Is it chaotic? Is it random when it is empty? A simple mathematical simulation and comparison with empirical observations show that we are faced with a self-organized critical phenomenon [1 ~ 4]. With PascalBernard, this ...